Time-Varying Risk of Disaster, Time-Varying Risk Premia, and Macroeconomic Dynamics

نویسندگان

چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Time-varying risk premia

Time-varying risk premia (TVRP) is one of the four sources of stock return autocorrelation. TVRP arises in a securities market equilibriumwhen the equilibrium expected returns of the available investments vary over time; in particular, the presence of TVRP does not indicate pricing inefficiency. This paper provides equilibrium upper bounds on TVRP, as a function of the return period, the time h...

متن کامل

Jump Risk, Time-Varying Risk Premia, and Technical Trading Profits

In this paper we investigate the recently documented trading profits based on technical trading rules in an asset pricing framework that incorporates jump risk and time-varying risk premia. Following Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), we apply popular technical trading rules to the daily S&P 500 index over a long period of time. Trading profits are examined using bootstrap simulation to add...

متن کامل

Time-Varying Risk Premia and Stock Return Autocorrelation

Autocorrelation in stock returns is one important measure of the efficiency of securities markets pricing. Autocorrelation may be a sign of genuine pricing inefficiency: partial price adjustment (PPA), in which trades occur at prices that do not fully reflect the available information. However, autocorrelation may also arise from three other sources: bid-ask bounce (BAB), nonsynchronous trading...

متن کامل

Sources of Time-varying Risk Premia in the Term Structure

This paper investigates the extent to which three observable macroeconomic factors can explain the time-varying risk premia in the short-end of the term structure. We employ an empirical model that is motivated by a dynamic asset pricing model with time-varying risk premia and timeinvariant reward-to-volatility measures. We find that, in our model, two factors explain up to 65% of the temporal ...

متن کامل

Time-Varying Risk Premia in the Foreign Currency Futures Basis

Significant time-varying risk premia exist in the foreign currency futures basis, and these risk premia are meaningfully correlated with common macroeconomic risk factors from equity and bond markets. The stock index dividend yield and the bond default and term spreads in the U.S. markets help forecast the risk premium component of the foreign currency futures basis. The specific source of risk...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal

سال: 2009

ISSN: 1556-5068

DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1362331